Gaming the Suwalki Gap

Last December, WELT collaborated with the German Wargaming Center of the Helmut-Schmidt-University of the German Armed Forces to conduct an all-day war game centered on an October 2026 Russian move into the Baltics without the bedrock promise of immediate U.S. military support.

Under the guise of a humanitarian emergency in isolated Kaliningrad (still occupied former German East Prussia), the 65-mile Suwałki Gap between the Lithuanian borders becomes a fortified Russian superhighway in an operation that could be interpreted as somewhat short of all-out Article 5-invoking war.

The outcome, gamed by a group of German high-ranking former defense bigwigs, is interesting, albeit a bit slanted.

More here. 

2 comments


  • Finland and Sweden have both joined NATO, respectively on 4 April 2023 and 7 March 2024. Why are they not members on the map above, considering the wargame took place way after those dates?


    • Probably an old graphic. The Gap has been there since 1945.

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