Tag Archives: how many ar-15s

30 million + ‘Black Rifles’ in Circulation

Back in 1986, the Colt AR-15A2 HBAR was where its at…

Recent firearms industry production numbers point to modern semi-auto sporting rifles, such as AR-15s and AK variants, as being extremely popular with consumers.

The figures, updated via the recent ATF Annual Firearms Manufacturing and Exportation Report– which includes data on guns made and imported in 2022– combined with past reports by federal regulators, show some 30,711,000 such rifles entering the market since 1990 and 2022.

The data, compiled by the National Shooting Sports Foundation, the trade organization for the American firearms industry, details the rise in demand and production of “black rifles” over 32 years. 

In 1990, with such guns tightly regulated by the federal “assault weapon” ban, just 74,000 were produced or imported– and those had to be made compliant via featureless stocks and 10-round magazines.

By 1994, when the ban had expired, those figures had climbed to 274,000.

They approached 500,000 in 2007 and hit 1 million in 2009– a span covering the campaign of President Obama for the White House and his first year in office.

In 2013 it hit over 2 million.

In 2021, 3.7 million. 

That’s per year, btw.

Figures don’t even count…

Detachable magazine semi-auto rifles have been a go-to for Americans for generations.

Remember that these figures don’t include privately made firearms crafted from 80 percent AR lowers or AK/G3 receiver flats, or guns that entered the marketplace before 1990.

While black rifles were not as common as they are today, Colt produced SP-1 sporter-style ARs going back to the mid-1960s, the Ruger Mini-14 entered the market in 1973, and the Springfield Armory M1A in 1974.

“If you’re a hunter, camper, or collector, you’ll want the AR-15 Sporter,” reads the circa-1963 ad copy. By 1969, something like 15,000 SP1s had been made.

Plus you have more than 250,000 M-1 Carbines that were sold as surplus through the Director of Civilian Marksmanship program during the 1960s along with warehouses of clones made specifically for consumers by companies like Universal (426,000 made), Iver Johnson (96,700 made) and Plainfield (112,000 made). 

These things were sold by the hundreds of thousands in the 1960s-80s

So yeah, 16 million ARs/AKs were made in the U.S. since 1990

Curious about some actual figures on how many semi-auto (Title I) AR-15 and AK-47 style platforms there were in the country, I contacted the National Shooting Sports Foundation, the trade organization for the gun industry. This is what they sent me as a production estimate after combing through the ATF’s AMFER data compared to manufacturers:

Yup, just over 16 million ARs and AKs from 1990-2016.

As far as the number in circulation, while some have surely been scrapped, worn out, broken or otherwise retired, guns manufactured or imported before 1989 are not listed in the 16 million figure. Likewise, guns assembled from so-called “80 percent” lowers or kits by home builders are not tracked by the industry. Keep in mind that before 1989 an estimated one million SKS rifles (some of which were M-models with detachable mags) and about half as many Chicom AK clones came in the country. Further, I do not believe the figure includes Mini-14s and Mini-30s, which Ruger have cranked out in seven-figure quantities since the 1970s.

In short, I think the 16 million mark may be a low-ball.

The debate over just how common ARs are has been a matter of legal contention at the federal level for several years. More in my column at Guns.com.

Crafting your own Black Rifle

As I mentioned back in April, picked up 10 stripped Anderson lowers from a local FFL and have been working on a couple of builds.

These two are now loaded with a Palmetto State Armory AR15 Fire Control Group (#7265); with Classic Lower Build Kit (#445), M4 Stock, A2 Pistol grip, and Mil-Spec diameter 6-position buffer tube assembly and ambi single point sling attachments..

IMG_20160606_134832695

Going to marry them up to a PSA Freedom Upper (#482726) with 16″ 416R stainless 5.56 NATO barrel with a 1 in 7″ twist and mid-length gas system (.750 diameter at the gas block), classic handguards; full-auto profile BCG (#35099) and a 7075 T6 Forged Mil-Spec Charging Handle (#24080).

Here is a great AR15 build video to help you get your own lowers ready:

So, just how many AR-15s are there out there right now? This estimate puts it at some 6 million which I think is conservative.

Anyway, 8 more builds to go.

Thinking a .300BLK and a .22LR at least as these are mulit-cal lowers.